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Boom and bust

Mark Koyama
Professor
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Tuesday, 17 April 2018

Humanity’s Remarkable Economic History

Marian Tupy at the Cato Institute provides a short summary of recent work by economic historians at Groningen's Growth and Development Centre. These scholars have built on the work of the pioneering economic historian Angus Maddison, who was the first to provide comprehensive estimates of per capita GDP for the preindustrial world. 

As in Maddison's original estimates, these data show that per capita incomes in today's developed countries followed a hockey stick pattern. Whatever economic ups and downs there were in preindustrial times, they are dwarfed by the growth that has occurred since 1800. Per capita incomes in France have increased by a factor of 24 since 1800. In particular, the data point to the rapid transformation of economies like that of China, which remained closed to subsistence as recently as the 1970s. 

These facts are widely known among economists but much less appreciated by scholars in other fields or the general public. Tupy's piece is a great summary. 

Humanity’s Remarkable Economic History
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